#15 Classic episode - Prof Tetlock on chimps beating Berkeley undergrads & when to defer to the wise

<b>Rebroadcast: this episode was originally released in November 2017.</b><br><br> Prof Philip Tetlock is a social science legend. Over forty years he has researched whose predictions we can trust, whose we can’t and why - and developed methods that allow all of us to be better at predicting the future.<br><br> After the Iraq WMDs fiasco, the US intelligence services hired him to figure out how to ensure they’d never screw up that badly again. The result of that work – Superforecasting – was a media sensation in 2015.<br><br> <b>Links to learn more, summary and full tra...