Clay Graubard and Robert de Neufville on forecasting the war in Ukraine

<p>In this episode of 80k After Hours, Rob Wiblin interviews Clay Graubard and Robert de Neufville about forecasting the war between Russia and Ukraine.</p><p>Links to learn more, highlights and full transcript.</p><p>They cover:</p>Their early predictions for the warThe performance of the Russian militaryThe risk of use of nuclear weaponsThe most interesting remaining topics on Russia and UkraineGeneral lessons we can take from the warThe evolution of the forecasting spaceWhat Robert and Clay were reading back in FebruaryForecasters vs. subject matter expertsWays to get involved with the forecasting communityImpressive past predictionsAnd more<p><...